June 24th, 2011 3:52 PM by Eric Fang
I still have some borrowers will think that ARM rate will go down with the stock market.It will not go down.
For some people, whne they take a look at therates, they only consider stock/bond market,or mortgage backed security. But there are other factors. My prediction is betterthan most of the other people is that I consider those factors. Here are two of them:1)Competition2)Lower the profit margin.And above two can be the same in the most cases.
For the last two or three months, the lenderPF has very low ARM rates, partially because of their investor's interest; partially becauseof the "high" interest rate, so they have more business with those rates.
Will they have very good business? Yes.Will they make more money. Maybe not.Why? The profit margin is low.
Ok. For the last two or three weeks, when the fixed interest rates were lower. If you werethe management or owner of the company, will you get such low rates(low margin).
For the common buisness sense, I will not.Why? Because I don't need those programto "generate" business. We can now have lots ofbusiness from 30 yr fixed and 15 fixed.
And one more factor, the diversification.For the investor, they will purchase more ARM loans if they have enough percentagein their portofolio.
As for the fixed rates, I am thinking about my strategy for the next half year when those ratesare indeed lower.
Have a good weekend.