December 1st, 2011 12:43 PM by Eric Fang
I got more and more phone calls and emailsto appreciate my rate prediction in the past3 years. They were all surprised by those predictions.
If you like my blogs, the best support is to emailthem to your friends and co-works. Some blog readerssaid that they did not know this wonderful blogs.And I did not try to promote it. And the bestway is from the referral of you guys.
Now back to the rates. Personally I think it will go down. We already see 3.75% for 30 yr fixed(withimpound), rate a little bit below 3.25% for 15 yr fixed. My gut feeling is that we should see lower rates in Janurary.
Here is my reasons:1)Stock market had a big day Wednesday Nov 30th.Dow was up 500+ points. But the rate did not budge a little.
2)Fed, ECB worked together to offer aid to global financial system. That's the main reason for thestock market Wednesday. Remember the two words:First: rescue. Second: Avoid (the possibilityof the future deterioriation.
3)If the Fed can fix problems so easily, the USeconomy problems whould be gone after QE I, andQE II.
But a pice of good news is that manufacturepicking up a little bit in the recent months;and construction little bit better.
Let's wait and see after this holiday season.