Loan Application Loan App Checklist Mortgage Calculators Contact Us Customer Login

Mortgage Blog

Warren Buffett's "The Bet"
May 5th, 2017 2:39 PM

In 2016's letters to Shareholders, Warren Buffett talked about his bet against the hedge funds about the performance of 5 hedge funds vs SP 500. I just copy it here:

Subsequently, I publicly offered to wager $500,000 that no investment pro could select a set of at least  five hedge funds – wildly-popular and high-fee investing vehicles – that would over an extended period match the performance of an unmanaged S&P-500 index fund charging only token fees. I suggested a ten-year bet and named a low-cost Vanguard S&P fund as my contender. I then sat back and waited expectantly for a parade of  fund managers – who could include their own fund as one of the five – to come forth and defend their occupation. After all, these managers urged  others  to bet billions on their abilities. Why should they fear putting a little of their own money on the line?

What followed was the sound of silence. Though there are thousands of professional investment managers who have amassed staggering fortunes by touting their stock-selecting prowess, only one man – Ted Seides – stepped up to my challenge. Ted was a co-manager of Protégé Partners, an asset manager that had raised money from limited partners to form a fund-of-funds – in other words, a fund that invests in multiple hedge funds.

I hadn’t known Ted before our wager, but I like him and admire his willingness to put his money where his mouth was. He has been both straight-forward with me and meticulous in supplying all the data that both he and I have needed to monitor the bet.

For Protégé Partners’ side of our ten-year bet, Ted picked five funds-of-funds whose results were to be averaged and compared against my Vanguard S&P index fund. The five he selected had invested their money in more than 100 hedge funds, which meant that the overall performance of the funds-of-funds would not be distorted by the good or poor results of a single manager.

And you see the results and whole article here on the page 21 of http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2016ltr.pdf.

For the past 9 years, those funds can not beat SP 500 so far yet. So that will get us some direction about how we invest our own money: some low cost sp 500 index funds. By the way, the annual shareholders of berkshire Hathaway’s meeting is this weekend.


Posted in:General
Posted by Eric Fang on May 5th, 2017 2:39 PMPost a Comment

Subscribe to this blog

Archives:

Categories:

My Favorite Blogs:

Sites That Link to This Blog: